INVESTORS raised their bullish bets on most Asian currencies over the past two weeks, with long positions on the Malaysian ringgit at their highest since March 2016, a Reuters poll showed, as the dollar came under pressure after doubts about the prospects of U.S. tax reforms showed no signs of abating.
The dollar touched a near one-month low on Wednesday after a tax plan that would repeal the Obamacare mandate and give permanent tax cuts only to U.S. corporations drew fire from two Republican lawmakers, in what could be a sign of trouble for the sweeping measure.
"The task of passing the Senate tax bill may have just gotten harder with lawmakers inserting a repeal of the Obamacare personal mandate provisions," said Greg McKenna, chief market strategist at CFD and FX provider AxiTrader.
"It may have just made the President's Christmas timetable a little harder to meet."
Investors have increased their bullish bets on the ringgit, the South Korean won and the Thai baht, the poll of 10 respondents showed.
Bullish sentiment on the ringgit was at its highest in more than 19 months, buoyed by the central bank's positive tone on the domestic economy.
Sentiment also got a boost from expectations that third-quarter economic growth will match the brisk pace seen in April-June, highlighting the resilience of the manufacturing sector.
Furthermore, full-year inflation is expected to come in at the higher end of Bank Negara Malaysia's forecast of 3-4 percent, before moderating next year. This increases the chances of a rate hike in the near future.
The ringgit touched a one year-high on Thursday, rising 7 percent so far this year.
Among other currencies, long positions on the Korean won touched the highest since July as investors cheered the hawkish signals from the central bank amid expectations of robust growth and inflation.
The International Monetary Fund said on Tuesday it expects South Korea's economy to expand by 3.2 percent this year, slightly faster than its previous forecast.
Recent bullish sentiment around the won has also been underpinned by rising inflows, with foreign investors turning net buyers for the first time since June.
Long positions on the Singapore dollar rose five-fold as investors became more optimistic about the pace of economic growth after factory activity in October expanded the most since December 2009.
It was not all beer and skittles though, with investors continuing to be bearish on the Philippine peso after the central bank left its key interest rate steady last week and signalled it was in no rush to alter policy settings.
Meanwhile, traders trimmed their long positions on the Chinese yuan over concerns about the economy, with last month's industrial output, fixed asset investment and retail sales missing expectations.
The Asian currency positioning poll is focused on what analysts and fund managers believe are the current market positions in nine Asian emerging market currencies: the Chinese yuan, South Korean won, Singapore dollar, Indonesian rupiah, Taiwan dollar, Indian rupee, Philippine peso, Malaysian ringgit and the Thai baht.
The poll uses estimates of net long or short positions on a scale of minus 3 to plus 3. A score of plus 3 indicates the market is significantly long U.S. dollars.
The figures include positions held through non-deliverable forwards (NDFs).
Reuters
Thu Nov 16 2017
The Asian currency positioning poll is focused on what analysts and fund managers believe are the current market positions in nine Asian emerging market currencies, including the Malaysian ringgit. - Photo for illustration purpose
Denmark stands firm on Greenland after Rubio says Trump's interest is no joke
Trump vows to make Denmark's autonomous territory part of the US, not ruling out military or economic pressure to acquire it.
On-site investigation of burned-out Air Busan plane to begin
Passengers evacuated from the Air Busan plane will get their baggage back after authorities deemed the jet safe for a full investigation.
Myanmar junta extends state of emergency to support election preparations
The junta plans this year to hold an election, which critics have derided as a sham to keep the generals in power through proxies.
Malaysia to receive visits from world leaders beginning next week - PM
We need more strategic partners at this time, says Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim.
'Stubborn' Sarawak flood victims urged to evacuate immediately
Deputy Premier Datuk Amar Douglas Uggah Embas says some individuals are still reluctant to move to the nearest relief centres.
Taylor Swift unveiled as presenter at Sunday's Grammys
Taylor Swift is nominated for the Grammy Awards for Album of the Year with her album 'The Tortured Poets Department', and five other awards.
Microsoft, Meta back big AI spending despite DeepSeek's low costs
CEOs of Microsoft and Meta defends massive spending saying it was crucial to staying competitive in the new field.
Israel releases Palestinian prisoners after delay over chaotic hostage handover
Hamas frees three Israeli and five Thai hostages in Gaza, and Israel releases 110 Palestinian prisoners in the latest prisoner-hostage swap.
New minimum wage order comes into force tomorrow, benefiting 4.37 million workers - KESUMA
Failure to comply with the Minimum Wage Order is an offence and may result in a fine.
Honda, Nissan to unveil detailed merger plan in mid-Feb.
Japan's second- and third-largest carmakers by volume, have agreed to begin talks on merging under a holding company.
Investigators cautious of jet fuel still aboard wrecked South Korean plane
The investigation is being slowed by a large amount of fuel and oxygen still on board, according to an air crash investigation official.
Malaysia's official reserve assets at US$116.22 bil as at end-December 2024 - BNM
According to Bank Negara Malaysia, projected foreign currency inflows amount to US$2.49 billion in the next 12 months.
Investigators seek to salvage aircraft after deadly Washington crash
Divers aim to "salvage the aircraft" and find additional components on Friday, Washington's fire department said.
PM calls on people to prioritise national interest
Prime Minister Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim says Malaysia should also serve as a model for strong racial unity.
Trump repeats tariffs threat to dissuade BRICS nations from replacing US dollar
Trump warns BRICS member countries from replacing the US dollar as a reserve currency by repeating a 100%-tariffs threat.
UN chief demands evacuation of 2,500 Gaza children at 'imminent risk' of death
The doctors said they are advocating for a centralised process for medical evacuations with clear guidelines.
US looking into whether DeepSeek used restricted AI chips, source says
Current restrictions on Nvidia artificial intelligence processors are meant to stop its most sophisticated chips from reaching China.
Number of evacuees continues to rise in flood-hit Sabah, Sarawak
In Sarawak, the number of evacuees rose to 9,398 from 2,725 families this morning.
Investigators find black boxes after deadly Washington plane crash, continue search for answers
Investigators recovered the so-called black boxes from the American Airlines Bombardier jet carrying 60 passengers and four crew members.
Malaysia among nine nations to meet in The Hague over alleged Israeli law violations
Nations expected to plan "coordinated legal, economic, and diplomatic actions" to hold Israel accountable for violating international law.