Dozens of labor, environmental and consumer groups are urging Congress to oppose the Trans-Pacific Partnership, the 12-nation trade deal that President Barack Obama hopes will be a signature achievement of his administration. Meanwhile, business groups and major trade associations are lining up to support it.
Here, we highlight some of the biggest talking points from both sides - and whether they match up with projections from economists and evidence from previous trade agreements.
For economic projections, we relied primarily on recent analyses by The World Bank, The Peterson Institute of International Economics and Tufts University.
Here we go:
1. Argument: TPP will lead to job losses and lower wages in the United States.
Facts: Two major studies found that wages will rise slightly overall, but acknowledged the possibility of job losses and wage cuts for some U.S. workers.
The World Bank and Peterson Institute both concluded that TPP will raise U.S. wages slightly by 2030 - about 0.6 percent for skilled workers and 0.4 percent for unskilled workers. The Tufts University study disagrees, finding that TPP would decrease median U.S. wages "making the vast majority of workers worse off."
The Peterson Institute found that TPP will not change employment levels overall, but could force 53,700 U.S. workers annually to find new jobs. However, displaced workers could face significant periods of unemployment and wage cuts, the study said.
The Tufts study is more pessimistic, estimating that TPP will lead to 771,000 lost jobs across all countries, with the majority - 450,000 - lost in the U.S. by 2025.
2. Argument: TPP will benefit the economy and U.S. manufacturers, and help create jobs.
Facts: TPP will increase annual U.S. exports by $357 billion, or 9.1 percent of exports, by 2030, according to the Peterson Institute. It will increase annual real incomes in the U.S. by $131 billion, or 0.5 percent of GDP.
By 2030, about 796,000 export jobs (those directly supported by exports) will be added, drawing workers from other firms.
However, TPP would slow growth in manufacturing employment by one-fifth and lead to 121,000 fewer jobs in manufacturing by 2030. That means increases in employment in the service and primary goods sectors, the study said.
3. Argument: TPP will lead to more companies challenging environmental regulations in the arbitration process.
Facts: TPP includes what is called the Investor-State Dispute Settlement (ISDS) provision, a flashpoint of controversy for liberals, including Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D).
The language allows corporations to sue foreign governments over environmental or public health regulations if they feel those regulations are hurting their profits. The cases go before private arbitration panels rather than the courts. The system's proponents say ISDS is a way to protect foreign investors from unfair treatment by foreign governments; its critics say it favors companies and makes it difficult to enforce regulations.
READ: Key facts about the TPP trade deal
There has been an explosion of such cases since the 1994 North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) between the U.S., Canada and Mexico. That year, two such arbitrations were initiated, and the number has grown - reaching a record 70 in 2015, according to the U.N. Conference on Trade and Development.
And the rulings weren't necessarily favorable to governments: More than $400 million has been paid out to corporations in ISDS cases under NAFTA-style deals, according to Public Citizen, which opposes TPP.
4. Argument: TPP will lead to an increase in harmful environmental pollutants, as manufacturing operations move to countries with lax standards.
Facts: A 2000 study by the Commission for Environmental Cooperation (CEC) - an intergovernmental organization formed by the United States, Canada and Mexico to address NAFTA environmental issues - found that air pollution generated by NAFTA truck transportation, the dominant mode for delivering NAFTA-associated goods, created "environmental stress" and "environmental pressures as measured by its impact on air quality," particularly at the U.S.-Canada border.
However, TPP includes more comprehensive and enforceable environmental rules than previous trade agreements, the Peterson Institute said.
5. TPP will cause the price of prescription drugs to go up.
Facts: TPP provides intellectual property protection for drugs for up to eight years. That means cheaper, generic versions would not be available until after that - seniors and doctors say the deal will lead to higher prices, particularly in poorer TPP countries. This is a topic many researchers have studied, with results varying by country.
Extending protection for drugs could cost Australian taxpayers hundreds of millions of dollars each year, according to a 2014 report to Australia's Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade.
After Canada and Japan extended the protection period, overall spending on drugs as a percentage of GDP went up slightly but not dramatically, according to 2015 research by the Geneva Network.
At U.S. International Trade Commission hearings in January, the Peruvian ambassador to the U.S. testified that since a trade agreement with the U.S. in 2009, the price of medicines in Peru has actually risen more slowly than the rate of inflation from 2009 to 2014.
That has not been the case in other trade deals. Since the U.S.-Jordan pact in 2001, there was a 20 percent increase in drug prices between 2002 and 2006, according to a 2009 report in the Journal of Generic Medicines.
The Washington Post
Fri Feb 19 2016
TPPA is projected to yield higher overall GDP growth for the countries with the expansion of markets and removal or reduction of trade barriers.
COP29 climate summit draft proposes rich countries pay $250 billion per year
The draft finance deal criticised by both developed and developing nations.
Bomb squad sent to London's Gatwick Airport after terminal evacuation
This was following the discovery of a suspected prohibited item in luggage.
Kelantan urges caution amidst northeast monsoon rains
Kelantan has reminded the public in the state to refrain from outdoor activities with the arrival of the Northeast Monsoon season.
Former New Zealand PM Jacinda Ardern receives UN leadership award
Former New Zealand prime minister Jacinda Ardern was given a global leadership award by the United Nations Foundation.
ICC'S arrest warrants for Netanyahu, Gallant an apt decision - PM
The decision of the ICC to issue arrest warrants against Benjamin Netanyahu and Yoav Gallant is apt, said Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim.
KTMB provides two additional ETS trains for Christmas, school holidays
KTMB will provide two additional ETS trains for the KL Sentral-Padang Besar route and return trips in conjunction with the holidays.
BNM'S international reserves rise to USD118 bil as at Nov 15, 2024
Malaysia's international reserves rose to US$118.0 billion as at Nov 15, 2024, up from US$117.6 billion on Oct 30, 2024.
Findings by dark energy researchers back Einstein's conception of gravity
The findings announced are part of a years-long study of the history of the cosmos focusing upon dark energy.
NRES responds to Rimbawatch press release on COP29
The Ministry of Natural Resources and Environmental Sustainability (NRES) wishes to offer the following clarifications to the issues raised.
Online Safety Bill and Anti-Cyberbullying Laws must carefully balance rights and protections
The Online Safety Advocacy Group (OSAG) stands united with people in Malaysia in the fight against serious online harms.
Malaysia's inflation at 1.9 pct in Oct 2024 - DOSM
Malaysia's inflation rate for October 2024 has increased to 1.9 per cent, up from 1.8 per cent in September this year.
Saudi Arabia showcases Vision 2030 goals at Airshow China 2024
For the first time, Saudi Arabia is participating in the China International Aviation & Aerospace Exhibition held recently in Zhuhai.
King Charles' coronation cost GBP 71mil, govt accounts show
The coronation of Britain's King Charles cost taxpayers GBP72 million (US$90 million), official accounts have revealed.
Couple and associate charged with trafficking 51.9 kg of meth
A married couple and a man were charged in the Magistrate's Court here today with trafficking 51.974 kilogrammes of Methamphetamine.
PDRM to consult AGC in completing Teoh Beng Hock investigation
The police may seek new testimony from existing witnesses for additional insights into the investigation of Teoh Beng Hock's death.
Thai court rejects petition over ex-PM Thaksin's political influence
Thailand's Constitutional Court rejects a petition seeking to stop Thaksin Shinawatra from interfering in the running the Pheu Thai party.
Abidin takes oath of office as Sungai Bakap assemblyman
The State Assemblyman for Sungai Bakap, Abidin Ismail, was sworn in today at the State Assembly building, Lebuh Light.
UPNM cadet officer charged with injuring junior, stomping on him with spike boots
A cadet officer at UPNM pleaded not guilty to a charge of injuring his junior by stomping on the victim's stomach with spike boots.
How Indian billionaire Gautam Adani's alleged bribery scheme took off and unraveled
The indictment was unsealed on Nov. 20, prompting a $27 billion plunge in Adani Group companies' market value.
Elon Musk blasts Australia's planned ban on social media for children
Several countries have already vowed to curb social media use by children through legislation, but Australia's policy could become one of the most stringent.