CAN there be positive sides to the brain drain? Perhaps. However, not at the scale and the stage as experienced by Malaysia and given its political and governance setup.
In the earlier article “Malaysian Brain Drain – Don’t go chasing waterfalls” from May 25, 2022, EMIR Research made a few critical points encapsulating the Malaysian brain drain problem:
1. The Malaysian brain drain has been growing exponentially over the last 4 decades.
2. It had a profound negative systemic impact on the nation, including such afflictions as starvation of talent replacement, poor governance and policymaking, middle-income trap, low industry development (less breadth and depth), corruption etc.
3. While facing low industrial development and chronic skills mismatch rooted in the ongoing education system crisis, reverse brain drain (stopping and returning the lost to the foreign lands high-skilled and talented individuals) will become our best bet to jump-start Malaysia’s industry and economy.
4. A complete overhaul of the overall Malaysian setup of governance and policymaking is the single most critical variable to reversing the brain drain.
Yet, some may still express optimism that brain drain is not all bad for the home country, and positive effects may be present.
Impact on Ringgit
Can there be a foreign exchange gain for Malaysia because many Malaysians work abroad? As can be extrapolated from the available global statistics, the Malaysia diaspora is about 2 million (see “Malaysian Brain Drain – Don’t go chasing waterfalls”).
Those working abroad but spending in Malaysia (for example, daily commuters between Malaysia and Singapore) or working and living abroad but sending remittances to Malaysia do contribute to the demand for Ringgit.
However, what is the size of this effect? Not the fact that all of them send remittances back home, and even if they do – how much? Is it sufficient to make a sensible impact on the Ringgit?
At the same time, let us not forget that Malaysia also has a significant population of migrant labour force, with a historically estimated ratio of at least 1:1 for documented versus undocumented. With the number of just the documented non-Malaysian workers standing at around 2.1 million in 2020, we can easily picture how the outflow remittance from Malaysia can quickly negate the positive effect of remittance by Malaysian migrants.
On top of that, any negligible positive effect will be further offset by the brain drain’s profound negative impact on the country’s industry and economy, which has a weakening impact on Ringgit.
When people of the highest productive and intellectual potential leave the country in great numbers, that country will find it more challenging to maintain a high intellectual and academic standard as these individuals are the vital driving force to create a more educated and professional society, cultivate and develop other talents. Therefore, this dynamic will create a country’s starvation of talent replacement and further shrink national aggregate creative potential, making the country lose its competitive edge to other more developed nations and slowing down its development and industrialisation.
Besides that, persistent highly skilled workers shortage negatively impacts the availability of complementary skilled workers, less-skilled workers, entrepreneurs, and capital providers.
After all, it is the brightest, highly skilled individuals who create new business opportunities in the economy at pace with global industrial development.
At the same time, foreign direct investments are always hungry for home economies whose industries are densely infused with professional and highly skilled individuals, especially in tech as of the latest trend. The need for a highly skilled tech-savvy workforce will only increase in the current, and future global job market as the world is forging ahead with the Industrial Revolution 4.0 (4IR) and soon 5.0 (5IR). A deficient pool of highly skilled individuals who, among other things, are the key creators of start-ups and a thriving digital ecosystem in the economy significantly shrinks the country’s potential to attract foreign direct investment and, therefore, further economic development.
All the above have a devastating impact on the brain drain’s home currency, and this fundamental incessant weakness is what we see in Ringgit Malaysia, especially since 2015.
Rise of remote working
Perhaps, remote working and digitalisation could be a positive trend in addressing the talent shortage due to brain drain?
The pandemic has shown us a potential for a hybrid model of remote working, but it might be somewhat limited.
A recent survey by McKinsey of 800 corporate executives worldwide and across all industry sectors found that the potential for remote work, although existent and likely to stay, is highly concentrated among highly-skilled, highly educated workers in a handful of industries, occupations, and geographies.
We need to factor in two aspects while evaluating the potential for remote working.
First is the theoretical potential for work to be done remotely determined by the extent to which there are tasks that require on-site physical presence, use of specialised machinery or equipment or closer, face-to-face, collaboration etc.
The second is effective potential or how much more effectively the work is done remotely as opposed to on-site presence.
Using the above two variables, the McKinsey, for example, found that among the occupations that have the highest potential for remote work are:
• Finance and insurance (76% – 86% of the time can be spent remotely),
• Management (68% – 78%),
• Professional, scientific and technical services (62% – 75%) and
• IT and telecommunications (58% – 69%).
The above are exactly the areas under the hard-to-fill Critical Occupation List by TalentCorp. Therefore, remote working may help Malaysia, at least to some extent, to fill in those hard-to-fill vacancies by TalentCorp.
However, there is one more factor by which we need to multiply the above overall potential --- the industry development. The general level of technological advances, innovation and digital transformation in the industry increases the scope of tasks and collaborations that can be done remotely.
Note that we are talking here about digital transformation versus plain digitalization. The digital transformation is born when there is the highest level of digitization (conversion of raw facts, events, and physical objects into 0s & 1s) that allows an increasingly larger number of the physical world objects to be placed on the network and moved around while completely re-inventing and re-engineering business processes, business models and business strategies.
Nevertheless, until 2022, when South Korea is already experimenting with the 6G application, Malaysia still has a disjointed digital ecosystem, lack of plain digitalization, and nascent digital transformation.
Therefore, if anything else, the level of digital transformation and remote work potential in advanced countries may increase our brain drain through yet another avenue – remote working.
Of course, these individuals now would be at least staying in Malaysia and spending their money here.
However, we must think broader than that --- they will continue to advance somebody’s else economy, not ours, while Malaysia will continue its spiral descent.
Dr Rais Hussin and Dr Margarita Peredaryenko are part of the research team at EMIR Research, an independent think tank focused on strategic policy recommendations based on rigorous research.
** The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the position of Astro AWANI.
Astro Awani
Mon Jun 20 2022
For Malaysia, brain drain means no escape from starvation of talent replacement, making the country lose its competitive edge to other more developed nations. - Filepic
Indian police volunteer gets life sentence for rape, murder of Kolkata junior doctor
The Indian court rejects demands for a death penalty saying it was not a rare crime.
Why Turkey is so influential in post-Assad Syria
NATO member Turkey is now in a position to influence its neighbour's future diplomatically, economically and militarily.
Trump cancels sanctions on Israeli settlers in West Bank
Trump reverses a key Biden-era policy that sanctioned numerous Israeli settler individuals and entities.
Trump's new meme coin soars on his first day in office
The boom in Trump-related crypto ventures comes as he promises to usher in a new "golden age" for cryptocurrencies.
[COLUMNIST] Strengthening public spaces: Malaysia's essential response to the global rise of crowd attacks
The global rise in crowd attacks highlights urgent need for stronger public security and effective contingency plans against violent crimes.
Taliban deputy foreign minister calls for girls' high schools to open
The Taliban have said they respect women's rights in accordance with their interpretation of Islamic law and Afghan culture.
Trump revokes Biden order that set 50% EV target for 2030
The 50% target, which was not legally binding, won the support of US and foreign automakers.
War-ravaged Gaza faces multi-billion dollar reconstruction challenge
Rebuilding Gaza's shattered homes will take at least until 2040, but could drag on for many decades, according to a UN report.
Trump signs executive order that he says will protect free speech
The US Constitution's First Amendment protects free speech and applies to government policies.
After inauguration, Trump signs orders in front of a cheering crowd
Donald Trump takes first step to curb immigration, boost fossil fuel production and roll back environmental regulations.
Trump withdraws from Paris climate agreement, again
The move places the United States alongside Iran, Libya and Yemen as the only countries in the world outside the 2015 pact.
Trump sworn in for second term, US braces for major shift
Following the inauguration, Donald Trump addresses his supporters during a rally that features a presidential parade.
Who are the Israeli hostages released by Hamas on Sunday?
Israel confirms names of three women after they were handed over to Israeli military in Gaza by the International Committee of Red Cross.
More than 200,000 KTMB train tickets allocated for CNY snapped up - Loke
KTMB says 210,000 of the 270,000 train tickets allocated in conjunction with the Chinese New Year season have been sold.
Facebook, TikTok, WhatsApp, Telegram are online platforms preferred by scammers - Fahmi
Fahmi Fadzil says the losses from scams and fraud committed on these platforms easily reached hundreds of millions of ringgit.
Man executed for causing heavy casualties in south China car-ramming case
Fan Weiqiu was convicted ramming his car into the crowd at a sports centre in November last year, causing heavy casualties.
Gov't not rushing to achieve developed nation status - Rafizi
Rafizi Ramli says the country is now in a good position, attracting foreign investors and being seen as a strategic gateway to ASEAN.
South Korea's Yoon shuns questioning as security tightened after court rampage
Authorities says security was being beefed up at the Seoul Detention Centre where Yoon Suk-Yeol is being held as a pre-trial inmate.
Triumphant Trump returns to White House, launching new era of upheaval
Donald Trump is the first US president since the 19th century to win a second term after losing the White House.
Sim: Malaysia's labour market faces significant challenges posed by three paradoxes
Steven Sim says the first paradox is the low median wage, which does not align with the country's low unemployment rate.