South Korea's ruling party to lose parliamentary majority: exit polls

AFP
April 13, 2016 17:26 MYT
South Korea's conservative ruling party may have lost its parliamentary majority in Wednesday's general election.
South Korea's conservative ruling party may have lost its parliamentary majority in Wednesday's general election, exit polls by three major TV channels showed.
The polls said the Saenuri Party was forecast to win between 118 and 147 seats in the 300-member National Assembly.
The main opposition Minjoo Party was expected to secure between 97 and 128 and the splinter opposition People's Party to win between 31 and 43 seats.
"Obviously, we're worried about the exit poll results but we will calmly wait until the final ballot counting results are returned", Saenuri's parliamentary floor leader Won Yoo-Chul said on national KBS TV.
The elections were clouded by North Korean nuclear threats and the multiple challenges facing Asia's fourth-largest economy, as President Park Geun-Hye enters the final stretch of her term in office.
Political power in South Korea is firmly concentrated in the presidency and elections to the single-chamber national assembly are traditionally dominated by local issues.
It is expected to become clear at about 1500GMT if Saenuri has lost its majority.
Observers, however, cautioned that exit polls have been wrong in the past five parliamentary elections.
If the ruling party, which won 152 parliamentary seats four years ago, fails to hold a majority it would be forced to rely on independent lawmakers to retain power in parliament.
Rising unemployment, plunging exports and worryingly high levels of household debt have led to criticisms of Park's handling of the economy and, by extension, of her ruling conservative Saenuri Party.
Dissatisfaction is especially high among young people, with the jobless rate among those aged 15-29 at record levels.
The left-wing opposition has sought to frame the vote as a referendum on Park's economic policies, but has suffered from factional infighting and breakaways that threaten to split the liberal vote to Saenuri's advantage.
Kate Kim, an unemployed 25-year-old college graduate, said that crippling levels of joblessness had persuaded her and many of her previously apathetic friends to vote.
"This is the first time I have voted... our country desperately needs change, especially for young and jobless people like me," Kim said.
All 300 seats in the legislature are up for grabs, with 253 chosen in first-past-the-post constituency elections, and the remaining 47 elected on a separate ballot via proportional representation.
Analysts had predicted Saenuri's chances would receive a boost from surging military tensions on the divided peninsula.
But the exit polls indicated that threats from North Korea may have failed to aid of the ruling party, traditionally regarded as hawkish on security issues.
The North conducted its fourth nuclear test in January, followed a month later by a long-range rocket launch that was widely seen as a disguised ballistic missile test.
However, Chung Hae-Young, a businessman in Seoul, said he had voted for the ruling conservatives, hailing their hard-line stance towards Pyongyang.
"I like how the party handled the North, although it honestly hasn't done a good job with the economy," said the 60-year-old.
But the conservatives have also suffered from internal bickering, particularly over the process for nominating candidates, which led to a number of defections by MPs now running as independents.
"During the nomination process, we failed and disappointed the people. It is entirely our fault," Saenuri Party leader Kim Moo-Sung acknowledged last week.
The outcome of Wednesday's vote could have a significant impact on Park, who has less than two years left to serve of her five-year single term.
A strong Saenuri showing would give her more leverage in pushing bills through the assembly, while a dwindling of conservative support would leave her very much a lame duck.
Park has fallen short on most of her key economic promises, a failure she puts down to legislative inaction, but which critics say owes more to skewed priorities, poor decision-making and an authoritarian style of leadership.
Under her presidency, annual economic growth has averaged around 2.9 percent, compared to 3.2 percent under her predecessor Lee Myung-Bak.
Exports, which account for more than half of GDP, have fallen for the past 14 months straight, while household debt has soared to a record $1.0 trillion.
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