US to allow Nvidia H200 chip shipments to China, Trump says

The decision appears to settle a U.S. debate about whether Nvidia and rivals should maintain their global lead in AI chips by selling to China or withhold the exports, though Beijing has told companies not to use U.S. technology, leaving it unclear whether Trump's decision would lead to new sales.

Nvidia shares rose 2% in after-hours trading after Trump made the announcement on Truth Social, following a 3% rise during the day on a report by Semafor.

Trump said in his post that he had informed President Xi Jinping of China, where Nvidia's chips are under government scrutiny, about the move and that he "responded positively."

He said the U.S. Commerce Department was finalizing details of the arrangement and the same approach would apply to other AI chip firms such as Advanced Micro Devices and Intel.

Trump's post said the fee to be paid to the U.S. government was "$25%", and a White House official confirmed he meant 25%, higher than the 15% proposed in August.

"We will protect National Security, create American Jobs, and keep America’s lead in AI," Trump wrote on Truth Social. "NVIDIA’s U.S. Customers are already moving forward with their incredible, highly advanced Blackwell chips, and soon, Rubin, neither of which are part of this deal."

Trump did not say how many H200 chips would be authorized for shipment or what conditions might apply, only that exports would occur "under conditions that allow for continued strong National Security."

Administration officials consider the move a compromise between sending Nvidia's latest Blackwell chips to China, which Trump has declined to allow, and sending China no U.S. chips at all, which officials believe would bolster Huawei's efforts to sell AI chips in China, a person familiar with the matter said.

"Offering H200 to approved commercial customers, vetted by the Department of Commerce, strikes a thoughtful balance that is great for America," Nvidia said in a statement.

Intel declined to comment. The U.S. Commerce Department, which oversees export controls, and AMD did not respond to requests for comment.

A White House official said that the 25% fee would be collected as an import tax from Taiwan, where the chips are made, to the United States, where the chips will undergo a security review by U.S. officials before being exported to China.

FEARS OF CHIPS STRENGTHENING CHINA'S MILITARY

China hawks in Washington are concerned that selling more advanced AI chips to China could help Beijing supercharge its military, fears that had first prompted limits on such exports by the Biden administration.

The Trump administration had been considering greenlighting the sale, sources told Reuters last month.

"It’s a terrible mistake to trade off national security for advantages in trade," said Eric Hirschhorn, who was a senior Commerce Department official during the Obama administration. "It cuts against the consistent policies of Democratic and Republican administrations alike not to assist China’s military modernization."

According to a report released on Sunday by the non-partisan think tank, the Institute for Progress (IFP), the H200 would be almost six times as powerful as the H20, the most advanced AI semiconductor that can legally be exported to China, after the Trump administration reversed its short-lived ban on such sales this year.

The Blackwell chip now in use by U.S. AI firms is about 1.5 times faster than H200 chips for training AI systems, the IFP said, and five times faster for inferencing work where AI models are put to use. Nvidia's own research has suggested Blackwell chips are 10 times faster than H200 chips for some tasks.

Several Democratic U.S. senators in a statement described Trump's decision as a "colossal economic and national security failure" that would be a boon to China's industry and military.

CHINA EYES POTENTIAL SECURITY RISKS

China's cybersecurity regulator summoned Nvidia to a meeting to explain whether its older H20 AI chip had any backdoor security risks, an allegation Nvidia has denied, Reuters reported in August.

Chris McGuire, an expert on technology and national security who served at the U.S. State Department until this summer, said Chinese firms would likely still buy H200s.

"China would almost certainly accept it," said McGuire, now a fellow with the Council on Foreign Relations. "It would be self-defeating not to, given the H200 is better than every chip the Chinese can make."

The H200 change comes the same day that Trump's Justice Department announced it had cracked a China-linked chip smuggling ring that in late 2024 and early 2025 exported and attempted to export at least US$160 million worth of controlled Nvidia H100 and H200 chips.

Craig Singleton, a senior fellow at the Washington think tank Foundation for Defense of Democracies, said it remained unclear how Beijing would react to U.S. export approvals.

"Chinese firms want H200s, but the Chinese state is driven by paranoia and pride — paranoia about backdoors and dependence on U.S. chips, and pride in pushing domestic alternatives," Singleton said. "Washington may approve the chips, but Beijing still has to let them in."